Aksoy Capital is a multi-layer evolutionary AI system that generates daily buy/sell/hold signals across multiple asset classes. Every layer adds a different dimension of intelligence — from classical genetic algorithms to foundation time-series models to large language models.
The foundation of the entire system. Four specialized Genetic Algorithms — trained on distinct market regimes (Crisis, Bull, Sideways, Transition) — form a Mixture of Experts (MoE). A Gatekeeper blends their outputs based on real-time macro signals (VIX, yield curve, Fed rate).
Each stock then receives its own per-stock fine-tuned GA champion, optimized within controlled bounds around the global MoE prior. This captures stock-specific behavior while preserving systematic risk management.
Training data spans 18 years (2005–2022). Walk-forward validation uses rolling 36-month windows with 12-month out-of-sample tests.
Extends Darwin Genom with 31 external learner signals that the GA alone cannot capture. These learners cover:
A secondary GA (Meta Coordinator Plus) evolves the optimal weighting of these learner signals on top of the Genom base weights.
A foundation model ensemble combining five pre-trained time-series models in zero-shot mode:
| Model | Origin | Strength |
|---|---|---|
| Kronos | Tsinghua | Finance-specialized |
| Chronos | Amazon | General time-series (46M params) |
| Moirai | Salesforce | Multi-domain probabilistic |
| Lag-Llama | MILA | Lag-aware autoregressive |
| PatchTST | IBM/Princeton | Patch-based transformer |
A dedicated GA optimizes the ensemble weights plus regime sensitivity parameters (VIX, momentum). The combined signal provides a model-driven price direction forecast independent of the GA-based layers.
LLM-based per-ticker analysis running in two modes:
| Mode | Strength | Use Case |
|---|---|---|
| AI Fast | Speed-optimized, cost-efficient | Daily routine analysis |
| AI Deep | Advanced reasoning capacity | Complex situations — earnings, Fed days, VIX spikes |
Each call receives rich context: price history, macro regime, all 31 learner signals, peer comparison, and sibling votes from other Darwin layers. The LLM synthesizes this into a directional conviction score.
The portfolio coordinator that blends all Darwin layers into a single tradeable portfolio. A Meta Coordinator GA evolves the optimal allocation across 5 universes × 3 modes (15 NAV streams), with regime-aware tilts:
The system operates across six distinct investment universes, each with its own GA calibration and learner set:
| Universe | Instruments | Data Source |
|---|---|---|
| US Stocks | 503 S&P 500 constituents | yfinance + Alpaca IEX |
| ETFs | Sector, bond, international, thematic | yfinance |
| Precious Metals | Gold, silver, platinum, miners | FRED + yfinance |
| Energy | WTI, natural gas, energy ETFs | FRED + EIA + yfinance |
| Mutual Funds | Vanguard, Fidelity, Dodge & Cox | yfinance (NAV) |
| Money Market | T-Bills, TIPS, yield curve | FRED (6 rate series) |
Every universe runs three parallel GA simulations, each producing its own champion set and signal stream:
| Mode | Holding Period | Focus | Best For |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trader | 1–5 days | Win rate + Sharpe, tight stops | Active traders, daily monitoring |
| Balanced | Flexible | Sharpe ratio optimization | General investors |
| Investor | 60+ days minimum | Calmar ratio + total return | Long-term, passive approach |
Master Darwin blends the three modes with evolved weights (currently: Investor 60%, Balanced 30%, Trader 10%).
AI-generated market reports published automatically:
| Report | Schedule | Content |
|---|---|---|
| Morning Brief | 07:50 ET daily | Pre-market outlook, overnight moves, key events |
| Close Report | 17:50 ET daily | Session recap, sector performance, signal summary |
| Weekly Wrap | Friday close | Weekly performance, macro trends, top movers |
| Company Profiles | On demand | Deep-dive single-stock analysis |
| Sector Spotlights | Periodic | Industry-level analysis and comparisons |
All reports are available on the Reports page and distributed via the @aksoycapital Telegram channel.
| Source | Usage |
|---|---|
| yfinance | OHLCV price data, 2005–present |
| FRED | Macro: VIX, yield curve, Fed rate, CPI, unemployment, SOFR, WTI |
| Alpaca IEX | Real-time quotes for mega-cap stocks |
| Proprietary AI | Darwin AI signals — dual-model architecture (fast + deep reasoning) |
| SEC EDGAR | Insider filings (Form 4), institutional holdings (13F), earnings (8-K) |
| Finnhub | News sentiment scoring |
| EIA | Weekly petroleum status reports |
Disclaimer: Aksoy Capital provides educational and informational content only. Nothing on this site constitutes investment advice, a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, or an offer or solicitation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.